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Raw materials: tight supply
In an interview, the reporter learned that in the coming years, the supply of rare earth raw materials will remain tight. The main reason is that our country regulates rare earth policies. In recent years, the state has adopted a series of regulatory measures to protect rare earth resources, and the control efforts have been continuously strengthened. Since last year, the National Development and Reform Commission has implemented mandatory program management for the production of rare earth mineral products and smelting and separation products. This is an important measure taken by the state to control the total production of rare earths. In the same year, on March 29, the Ministry of Land and Resources issued another order. In 2007, the total rare earth ore mining control index; to further control the export of high energy consumption, high pollution, and resource products, on June 1st of the same year, China adjusted the import and export tariff rates of some products, including rare earth metals, cerium oxide, and lanthanum oxide. Exports are subject to a 10% tariff, and export tariffs on rare earth metal and other metal ore are increased from the current 10% to 15%. Furthermore, since the three years from 2005 to the present, the Chinese government has used tariff leverage three times to increase rareness. Metal exit threshold. From the total elimination of export rebates of rare metals such as rare earths to the continuous increase in export tariffs, the rise in export costs has led to a continuous decline in exports, and rare earth resources have been effectively protected. Therefore, with the end of the era of cheap raw materials, the concentration of rare earth resource companies will increase again in the future, and rare earth resource-based companies will have more initiative in pricing rare earth prices. Therefore, industry experts generally believe that the supply of rare earth raw materials will continue to be tight in the future due to the country’s influence on strategic resource protection policies.
Consumption: continued growth
Regarding the judgment of the trend of consumption of rare earths in the next few years, Wang Xiaotie, chief engineer of Inner Mongolia Rare Earth Group, believes that the booming new materials industry in the world will boost the continuous growth of rare earth consumption. At present, the world’s consumption of rare earths is mainly concentrated in China, the United States, Japan, and Europe. Among them, China’s consumption is the largest and it has reached 50% of global consumption. The reasons are related to the expansion of the application of rare earths in China's national economy. On the other hand, there are also factors influencing the increase of domestic rare earth consumption caused by the global industrial transfer. The rare earth market presents the internationalization of domestic and international markets. feature. Wang Xiaotie told reporters that from the perspective of the consumption structure of rare earths at home and abroad, new materials are the largest application areas, accounting for about 50% of the total consumption of rare earths, and the proportion of consumption in petrochemicals, metallurgy, and glass industries also exceeds 10%. It is expected that the output of NdFeB will remain at an average annual growth rate of over 20% in the next 3 to 5 years. By 2010, the output of NdFeB in China will reach 80,000 to 100,000 tons. Therefore, the future is expected to increase the output of NdFeB. Market demand for rare earth metals such as lanthanum and niobium and their oxides continues to be strong.
Price: Rational Return
Regarding rare earth prices, Song Hongfang, a senior expert at the China Rare Earth Information Center, told reporters that “in the next few years, rare earth prices will fluctuate at a reasonable price range and will not remain at high levels for a long time, nor will they return to the past low levels.†The main reasons are as follows: First, the state's adjustment of the rare earth industry policy. In addition to limiting production and restricting export policies, the environmental protection efforts of the rare earth industry are also increasing, resulting in tight supply of rare earth raw materials. The second is the pull of the market. In recent years, the rapid development of the world's electronics industry has greatly stimulated the development of the plutonium, iron and boron industries. The market's demand for plutonium, ytterbium, plutonium, and ytterbium products has continued to increase, resulting in an increase in the prices of related products. The third is the increase in the cost of rare earth products. Due to the rising costs of raw and auxiliary materials, energy, and transportation for producing rare earth products, the cost has been increasing. At the same time, the cost of environmental protection in the production process of rare earth industries has also increased in recent years. The fourth is the linkage effect. In recent years, the prices of non-ferrous metals in the world have risen, which has objectively created a big environment for rising rare earth prices.
The pattern of global rare earth industry has changed, and at the same time industrial development has returned to rationality, which will have an impact on the development of China's rare earth industry. Professor Zhao Zengyi, vice chairman of the China Earth Society, believes that this should be a good thing for China and can ease China's rare earth. The pressure on the supply of products will correspondingly reduce the exploitation of rare earth minerals in China, reduce the negative impact on the environment caused by over-exploitation, and extend the life of rare earth mines in China. Moreover, in the future as other countries continue to exploit their rare earth resources, rare earth prices will continue to return to rationality and be controlled within a reasonable range. This will reduce the pressure on the downstream product manufacturers, which will benefit the extension of the rare earth industrial chain. Zhao Zengqi said that in the face of the new situation, the future of China's rare earth industry will face the problem of not only maximizing the value of its own products, but also avoiding the adverse effects of excessive prices.
As a resource-based industry with obvious advantages in the global economy, the rare earth industry, how to maximize the value of resource utilization, how to regulate prices from low prices to reasonable prices, and thus more conducive to the development of the industry chain? Recently, the reporter The survey interviewed relevant persons. From the perspectives of raw materials, markets, and prices, the comprehensive utilization of rare earth resources is now on the rational development track through the adjustment of the state's strategy for the development of rare earth industries in recent years.